Lakers vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Dec. 9 best bets from model on 121-78 run
Lakers vs. Grizzlies prediction, odds, line, spread: 2021 NBA picks, Dec. 9 best bets from model on 121-78 run

The Memphis Grizzlies welcome the Los Angeles Lakers to FedEx Forum for a showdown on Thursday. Memphis is 14-11 this season and on the second night of a back-to-back after a loss to Dallas. The Grizzlies were without Ja Morant (protocols), Brandon Clarke (knee) and Kyle Anderson (back) for Wednesday's game. Clarke will miss this game as well, while Anderson is questionable. Los Angeles is 13-12 this season, and the Lakers list LeBron James (abdominal) and Anthony Davis (thumb) as probable, with Trevor Ariza (ankle) and Kendrick Nunn (knee) ruled out.

Caesars Sportsbook lists Los Angeles as a four-point road favorite for this 8 p.m. ET tipoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 223.5 in the latest Lakers vs. Grizzlies odds. Before locking in any Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 8 of the 2021-22 NBA season up almost $2,000 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 121-78 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Lakers vs. Grizzlies and just locked in its NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Grizzlies vs. Lakers:

  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies spread: Lakers -4
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies over-under: 223.5 points
  • Lakers vs. Grizzlies money line: Lakers -160, Grizzlies +140
  • LAL: The Lakers are 4-5 against the spread in the last nine road games
  • MEM: The Grizzlies are 5-1 against the spread in the last six games

Why the Lakers can cover

The Lakers have three stars to lean on in this matchup. Los Angeles is keyed by James, who is averaging 25.9 points, 6.6 assists and 5.5 rebounds per contest. James is flanked by Davis and Russell Westbrook, with Davis generating 24.1 points, 10.3 rebounds and 2.2 blocks per game and Westbrook adding 20.4 points, 8.7 assists and 7.8 rebounds per contest. The Lakers land near the top of the league in shooting accuracy, making 46.5 percent of all shots and 53.5 percent of 2-point attempts. 

Los Angeles also gets to the free-throw line at a high level, averaging 21.7 attempts per game, and the defense is strong. The Lakers are producing 15.8 turnovers per game on the defensive end, with top-eight marks in both steals (8.5 per game) and blocked shots (5.8 per game) this season. Memphis is in the bottom tier of the league in free-throw creation on offense, and the Lakers have the edge on the margins as a result.

Why the Grizzlies can cover

Memphis has a few clear edges against Los Angeles on Thursday. The Grizzlies are elite on the offensive glass, securing more than 32 percent of available offensive rebounds. Memphis is also a top-five team in assists (25.4 per game), and the Grizzlies are firmly in the top 10 in the NBA in offensive rating, scoring more than 1.1 points per possession. Los Angeles is No. 29 in the NBA in free-throw prevention and No. 28 in assists allowed on defense.

When changing ends, Memphis is tremendous in creating havoc, leading the NBA in steals (10.0 per game) and blocks (6.2 per game) through 25 games. The Grizzlies are also above-average in keeping opponents away from the free-throw line, and the Lakers are No. 27 in the NBA in free-throw accuracy and just No. 28 in the NBA in turnover prevention on offense.

How to make Grizzlies vs. Lakers picks

SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 210 points. The model also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

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