The Brooklyn Nets aim to continue an uptick on Tuesday evening. Brooklyn has won eight of the last nine games, improving to 10-4 overall in 2021-22. The Nets face a unique challenge in this contest, however, as the Golden State Warriors visit Barclays Center. Golden State has the NBA's best record at 11-2, though the Warriors lost their last game and aim to bounce back in this spot.
Caesars Sportsbook lists Brooklyn as a three-point home favorite, and tip-off is scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 222 in the latest Nets vs. Warriors odds. Before making any Warriors vs. Nets picks and NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters Week 5 of the 2021-22 NBA season up over $900 on all top-rated NBA picks this season. It's also on a stunning 113-75 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread that dates back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Nets and just locked in its coveted NBA picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and trends for Nets vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Nets spread: Nets -3
- Warriors vs. Nets over-under: 222 points
- Warriors vs. Nets money line: Nets -150, Warriors +130
- GS: The Warriors are 8-4-1 against the spread this season
- BKN: The Nets are 7-7 against the spread this season
Why the Warriors can cover
Golden State is leading the league in defensive rating, allowing less than a point per possession. That is highly appealing in any matchup, but the Warriors are also outstanding on the offensive end. Stephen Curry leads the way in averaging 28.1 points per game and he is connecting on 39 percent of his 13.3 three-point attempts per contest. Golden State is also lethal with ball movement and passing, with the Warriors leading the NBA in both assists per game (29.5) and assist percentage (70.6 percent).
Golden State is No. 2 in the league in overall shooting efficiency, leading the league with 15.2 made three-pointers per game, and the Warriors are also in the top 10 in free throw creation rate. With Steve Kerr's team leading the NBA in steals (10.6 per game) and ranking in the top four in three-point defense, defensive rebound rate and overall shooting efficiency allowed, the sky's the limit for Golden State as a two-way unit.
Why the Nets can cover
Brooklyn is playing at a high level right now, and the Nets have two superstars to lean on in Kevin Durant and James Harden. After a slow start, Harden is flashing positive signs, including a 39-point, 12-assist effort on Friday, and Durant is averaging 29.6 points and 8.4 rebounds per game. As a team, the Nets lead the league in 3-point shooting (39.3 percent), with strongly above-average marks in field-goal percentage (47 percent), free-throw percentage (79.8 percent) and assists (25.1 per game).
On the other end, the Nets are No. 2 in the league in 3-point defense, with opponents shooting just 31 percent against them. On the whole, Brooklyn is a top-eight team in defensive efficiency, allowing only 103.5 points per 100 possessions, and the Nets have the personnel to keep track of Golden State's high-powered offense.
How to make Warriors vs. Nets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the teams projected to combine for 214 points The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60 percent of simulations.